Jupiler League Week 17 [18-8-3 |+30.988 units | +31.63% ROI]

[Costanza]

Last week before the winter break, hope to find some good value again.
Will try to post by wednesday or thurseday when the asians have their odds available.

Season 07/08 Record So Far:
Picks = 29
Won / Lost / Push = 18 / 8 / 3 (69 % Winners)
Units Bet = 98 units
Units Return = 128.998 units
Average Stake = 3.30 units
Profit = + 30.998 Units
ROI = +31.63 %

Jupiler League Betting Record Week 16: 1-0-0,+ 5,150 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 15: 1-0-0,+ 3,060 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 14: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 13: 0-0-0, +0,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 12: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 11: 1-0-0,+ 4,115 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 10: 1-0-1,+ 1,640 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 09: 1-1-0,+ 1,290 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 08: 0-1-1,- 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 07: 2-0-0,+ 4,947 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 06: 2-1-0,+ 4,634 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 05: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 04: 2-1-0, + 1,983 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 03: 2-0-0, + 8,800 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 02: 3-1-0, + 3,665 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 01: 2-0-1, + 3,714 Units
-> http://belgianleague.blogabet.com

 

[Costanza]

Pick 30: Zulte-Waregem vs FC Brussels (3 Units) @ 1.800
odds are still available at the moment with Expekt

This is the last week in The Jupiler League before the winter break. Zulte-Waregem is currently in 9th place with 21 points. Exactly where they belong in their 3th season in the league. After a surprisingly good first season and a very difficult year of comfirmation where they were mainly focussed on their UEFA adventure they now really seem to have found their turn. There is no pressure eighter to fight against regelartion or to compeat at the top. In their last 2 matches they played a bad 2nd half and in matches they end up losing after being in a winning position. Overall they have been quite solid at home this season with 5 wins out of 8 matches and I expect them to be very motivated to set previous 2 losses straight for their home fans. Even though their top scorer Leye (7 from their 23 goals) is suspended they should have enough offenive power with Matthijs & Jelavic.

FC Brussels on the other hand is currently 16th and 1 point away from the last place with only 11 points. Things haven't really gone good for the team, there are still some injury problems and they still play a really dirty & defensive game. They have been able to win 1 away match so far surprisingly against Lokeren & got away with a point in moeskroen who struggled to finish many chances they were able to produce. All other away matches were all lost and most of them by a rather big Margin. Last week they played at home against Cercle and did not really have a chance which ist'nt a shame against one of the best playing teams in the league. It is also for them the last match before the winter break and I would be surpised if they had a lof of hunger and fight to really want to win this match since this istn't exactly the ideal spot for a momentum change for them. Coach Cartier hasn't got that much credit left and I wouldn't be surprised if he was changed during the winter break with an eye and focus allready on the 2nd half of the season. I checked some statistics on the performance of the lower ranked regelation teams and their matches just before the winter break & more then 73% of the time these teams lose that match and a lot of times with a big margin. Being tired of the struggle with the upcomming break and a possible fresh start in the new year defenatly might be a factor that count in a spot like this. I would really be surprised if they could win this away match against a Zulte-Waregem team that is the better team that plays at home and has something to make up for.

I see Zulte-Waregem having at least around 60% chance to win this match with a realistic possibility to win it by more then 1 goal.

So 3/10 on Zulte-Waregem to win @ (1.80 Expekt)

 

[Costanza]

Pick 30: Zulte-Waregem vs FC Brussels (3 Units) @ 1.800 -->SCORE 1 - 0 [WON + 2.400 Units]

Pick won bus wast'n my best of the season.

Season 07/08 Record Halfway trough the Season:
Picks = 30
Won / Lost / Push = 19 / 8 / 3 (70 % Winners)
Units Bet = 101 units
Units Return = 134.398 units
Average Stake = 3.30 units
Profit = + 33.398 Units
ROI = +33.06 %

Jupiler League Betting Record Week 17: 1-0-0,+ 2,400 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 16: 1-0-0,+ 5,150 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 15: 1-0-0,+ 3,060 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 14: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 13: 0-0-0, +0,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 12: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 11: 1-0-0,+ 4,115 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 10: 1-0-1,+ 1,640 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 09: 1-1-0,+ 1,290 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 08: 0-1-1,- 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 07: 2-0-0,+ 4,947 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 06: 2-1-0,+ 4,634 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 05: 0-1-0, - 3,000 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 04: 2-1-0, + 1,983 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 03: 2-0-0, + 8,800 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 02: 3-1-0, + 3,665 Units
Jupiler League Betting Record Week 01: 2-0-1, + 3,714 Units
-> http://belgianleague.blogabet.com

Congrats to all those who were able to cash along so far !
Should be back with more after the winter break...